Projection · PPR
88.9
62–116 range
ADP (consensus)
302
as of Jul 17
Confidence
61%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 241.9 | 14.2 |
| 2023partial | 12 | 150.3 | 12.5 |
| 2024partial | 8 | 70.9 | 8.9 |
| 2025partial | 11 | 57.9 | 5.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 88.9 | 5.2 |
How we got there (v2)
8.04
PPG (aged)
11.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
88.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.47 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.04.