Projection · PPR
317.7
234–402 range
ADP (consensus)
54
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 236.1 | 19.7 |
| 2023 | 16 | 331.2 | 20.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | 430.4 | 25.3 |
| 2025 | 13 | 214.9 | 16.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 317.7 | 18.7 |
How we got there (v2)
20.87
PPG (aged)
15.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
317.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).