Projection · PPR
203.8
150–258 range
ADP (consensus)
16
as of Jun 2
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 284.0 | 17.8 |
| 2023 | 14 | 223.2 | 15.9 |
| 2024 | 16 | 355.3 | 22.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | 232.3 | 14.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 203.8 | 12.0 |
How we got there (v2)
13.64
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
203.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 16.04 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.64.