Projection · PPR
220.3
162–279 range
ADP (consensus)
17
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 284.0 | 17.8 |
| 2023 | 14 | 223.2 | 15.9 |
| 2024 | 16 | 355.3 | 22.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | 232.3 | 14.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 220.3 | 13.0 |
How we got there (v2)
14.74
PPG (aged)
14.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
220.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.34 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.74.