Projection · PPR
88.6
64–114 range
ADP (consensus)
109
as of Jun 2
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 248.6 | 14.6 |
| 2023partial | 11 | 134.9 | 12.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 241.6 | 14.2 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 118.7 | 9.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 88.6 | 5.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.97
PPG (aged)
11.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
88.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.39 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.97.