Projection · PPR
131.0
95–167 range
ADP (consensus)
340
as of Jun 22
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 176.9 | 10.4 |
| 2023 | 17 | 230.3 | 13.5 |
| 2024partial | 9 | 89.5 | 9.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | 102.8 | 6.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 131.0 | 7.7 |
How we got there (v2)
9.06
PPG (aged)
14.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
131.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.74 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.06.