Projection · PPR
123.0
92–154 range
ADP (consensus)
1135
as of Jun 22
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 52.0 | 4.3 |
| 2023 | 17 | 124.2 | 7.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 222.3 | 13.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 85.2 | 5.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 123.0 | 7.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.24
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
123.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.78 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.24.