Projection · PPR
72.9
54–92 range
ADP (consensus)
302
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 142.1 | 8.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | 121.3 | 7.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 81.4 | 4.8 |
| 2025 | 15 | 77.9 | 5.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 72.9 | 4.3 |
How we got there (v2)
4.80
PPG (aged)
15.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
72.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.64 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.80.