Projection · PPR
92.0
64–120 range
ADP (consensus)
220
as of Jul 17
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 200.2 | 15.4 |
| 2023 | 13 | 201.5 | 15.5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 253.8 | 15.9 |
| 2025partial | 3 | 33.3 | 11.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 92.0 | 5.4 |
How we got there (v2)
10.37
PPG (aged)
8.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
92.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.81 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.37.