Projection · PPR
196.5
144–249 range
ADP (consensus)
1097
as of Jun 22
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 287.9 | 18.0 |
| 2022 | 14 | 239.5 | 17.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 267.0 | 15.7 |
| 2024 | 14 | 240.5 | 17.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 196.5 | 11.6 |
How we got there (v2)
13.54
PPG (aged)
14.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
196.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.93 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.54.