Projection · PPR
278.6
205–352 range
ADP (consensus)
142
as of Jun 2
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 417.4 | 24.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 280.2 | 17.5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 283.0 | 17.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | 285.7 | 20.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 278.6 | 16.4 |
How we got there (v2)
17.78
PPG (aged)
15.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
278.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).