Projection · PPR
115.4
83–148 range
ADP (consensus)
276
as of Jul 17
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 9 | 201.4 | 22.4 |
| 2023partial | 12 | 164.4 | 13.7 |
| 2024partial | 12 | 175.0 | 14.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 116.3 | 7.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 115.4 | 6.8 |
How we got there (v2)
9.09
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
115.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.33 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.09.