Projection · PPR
109.4
79–140 range
ADP (consensus)
287
as of Jun 2
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 9 | 201.4 | 22.4 |
| 2023partial | 12 | 164.4 | 13.7 |
| 2024partial | 12 | 175.0 | 14.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 116.3 | 7.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 109.4 | 6.4 |
How we got there (v2)
8.62
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
109.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.79 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.62.