Projection · PPR
129.4
90–169 range
ADP (consensus)
106
as of Jul 17
Confidence
65%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 222.8 | 14.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | 209.2 | 12.3 |
| 2024partial | 7 | 137.8 | 19.7 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 83.0 | 9.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 129.4 | 7.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.89
PPG (aged)
10.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
129.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.52 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.89.