Projection · PPR
152.4
108–196 range
ADP (consensus)
156
as of Jul 17
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 211.7 | 14.1 |
| 2023 | 13 | 233.0 | 17.9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 265.3 | 18.9 |
| 2025partial | 11 | 100.7 | 9.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 152.4 | 9.0 |
How we got there (v2)
13.13
PPG (aged)
11.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
152.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.44 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.13.