Projection · PPR
114.7
82–148 range
ADP (consensus)
177
as of Aug 31
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 211.7 | 14.1 |
| 2023 | 13 | 233.0 | 17.9 |
| 2024 | 14 | 265.3 | 18.9 |
| 2025partial | 11 | 100.7 | 9.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 114.7 | 6.7 |
How we got there (v2)
10.81
PPG (aged)
10.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
114.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.44 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.81.