Projection · PPR
248.8
176–321 range
ADP (consensus)
7
as of Jul 17
Confidence
73%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 356.4 | 21.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 391.3 | 24.5 |
| 2024partial | 4 | 47.8 | 11.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 416.6 | 24.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 248.8 | 14.6 |
How we got there (v2)
18.75
PPG (aged)
13.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
248.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 22.06 PPG; age curve adjusts to 18.75.