Projection · PPR
117.2
83–151 range
ADP (consensus)
326
as of Jul 17
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 142.0 | 10.1 |
| 2023 | 16 | 201.2 | 12.6 |
| 2024partial | 11 | 148.5 | 13.5 |
| 2025partial | 11 | 86.3 | 7.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 117.2 | 6.9 |
How we got there (v2)
9.53
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
117.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.25 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.53.