Projection · PPR
249.5
181–319 range
ADP (consensus)
112
as of Jun 2
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 198.6 | 16.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 342.8 | 20.2 |
| 2024partial | 8 | 116.5 | 14.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 313.8 | 18.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 249.5 | 14.7 |
How we got there (v2)
16.92
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
249.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.44 PPG; age curve adjusts to 16.92.