Projection · PPR
259.7
188–332 range
ADP (consensus)
111
as of Jul 17
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 198.6 | 16.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 342.8 | 20.2 |
| 2024partial | 8 | 116.5 | 14.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 313.8 | 18.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 259.7 | 15.3 |
How we got there (v2)
17.61
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
259.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 18.16 PPG; age curve adjusts to 17.61.