Projection · PPR
146.1
98–195 range
ADP (consensus)
300
as of Jul 17
Confidence
45%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 168.6 | 12.0 |
| 2023partial | 2 | 22.9 | 11.4 |
| 2024partial | 7 | 45.2 | 6.5 |
| 2025 | 14 | 227.4 | 16.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 146.1 | 8.6 |
How we got there (v2)
13.94
PPG (aged)
10.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
146.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.37 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.94.