Projection · PPR
162.6
122–203 range
ADP (consensus)
16
as of Jul 17
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 302.8 | 18.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | 246.7 | 14.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 336.4 | 19.8 |
| 2025 | 17 | 279.5 | 16.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 162.6 | 9.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.25
PPG (aged)
14.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
162.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 16.08 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.25.