Projection · PPR
119.7
89–151 range
ADP (consensus)
—
not yet ranked
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 183.8 | 11.5 |
| 2022 | 16 | 167.1 | 10.4 |
| 2023 | 17 | 144.8 | 8.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 78.3 | 5.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 119.7 | 7.0 |
How we got there (v2)
7.54
PPG (aged)
15.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
119.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.94 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.54.