Projection · PPR
139.9
103–177 range
ADP (consensus)
201
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 103.9 | 6.5 |
| 2023 | 13 | 119.9 | 9.2 |
| 2024 | 16 | 145.4 | 9.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 178.8 | 10.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 139.9 | 8.2 |
How we got there (v2)
8.96
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
139.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.96.