Projection · PPR
162.2
117–207 range
ADP (consensus)
209
as of Jun 2
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 316.6 | 19.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 273.8 | 16.1 |
| 2024partial | 8 | 121.9 | 15.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 210.3 | 12.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 162.2 | 9.5 |
How we got there (v2)
11.35
PPG (aged)
14.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
162.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.90 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.35.