Projection · PPR
173.7
127–220 range
ADP (consensus)
1912
as of Jun 22
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 15 | 202.5 | 13.5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 246.0 | 14.5 |
| 2023 | 15 | 227.0 | 15.1 |
| 2024 | 13 | 122.7 | 9.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 173.7 | 10.2 |
How we got there (v2)
11.85
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
173.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.47 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.85.