Projection · PPR
108.7
70–147 range
ADP (consensus)
802
as of Jun 22
Confidence
29%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 196.6 | 15.1 |
| 2023partial | 2 | 11.8 | 5.9 |
| 2024partial | 3 | 45.8 | 15.3 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 125.5 | 12.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 108.7 | 6.4 |
How we got there (v2)
12.62
PPG (aged)
8.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
108.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.01 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.62.