Projection · PPR
147.0
105–189 range
ADP (consensus)
82
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 225.4 | 15.0 |
| 2023 | 17 | 282.5 | 16.6 |
| 2024 | 14 | 240.4 | 17.2 |
| 2025partial | 8 | 84.8 | 10.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 147.0 | 8.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.91
PPG (aged)
12.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
147.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.53 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.91.