Projection · PPR
116.2
75–157 range
ADP (consensus)
—
not yet ranked
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 146.6 | 9.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 116.2 | 6.8 |
How we got there (v2)
7.57
PPG (aged)
15.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
116.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.91 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.57.