Projection · PPR
195.3
141–249 range
ADP (consensus)
1918
as of Jun 22
Confidence
82%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 257.0 | 15.1 |
| 2022 | 15 | 219.1 | 14.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 241.1 | 14.2 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 150.9 | 15.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 195.3 | 11.5 |
How we got there (v2)
14.27
PPG (aged)
13.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
195.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.71 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.27.