Projection · PPR
185.1
136–235 range
ADP (consensus)
59
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 335.5 | 19.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 265.4 | 15.6 |
| 2024 | 14 | 241.3 | 17.2 |
| 2025 | 14 | 222.9 | 15.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 185.1 | 10.9 |
How we got there (v2)
12.79
PPG (aged)
14.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
185.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.53 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.79.