Projection · PPR
172.8
127–219 range
ADP (consensus)
1103
as of Jun 22
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 10 | 164.0 | 16.4 |
| 2023 | 13 | 278.9 | 21.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 184.4 | 12.3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 182.7 | 10.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 172.8 | 10.2 |
How we got there (v2)
11.44
PPG (aged)
15.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
172.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.00 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.44.