Projection · PPR
213.8
158–270 range
ADP (consensus)
315
as of Jul 17
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 303.9 | 17.9 |
| 2023 | 15 | 227.3 | 15.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 266.0 | 15.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | 173.9 | 11.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 213.8 | 12.6 |
How we got there (v2)
13.72
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
213.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.14 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.72.