Projection · PPR
128.0
89–167 range
ADP (consensus)
1930
as of Jun 22
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 225.8 | 15.1 |
| 2023 | 15 | 256.9 | 17.1 |
| 2024partial | 11 | 172.8 | 15.7 |
| 2025partial | 6 | 49.8 | 8.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 128.0 | 7.5 |
How we got there (v2)
13.03
PPG (aged)
9.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
128.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.16 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.03.