Projection · PPR
124.0
86–162 range
ADP (consensus)
371
as of Jun 22
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 291.6 | 17.2 |
| 2023partial | 8 | 149.7 | 18.7 |
| 2024 | 14 | 176.3 | 12.6 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 103.5 | 10.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 124.0 | 7.3 |
How we got there (v2)
11.64
PPG (aged)
10.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
124.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.65 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.64.