Projection · PPR
137.3
98–177 range
ADP (consensus)
—
not yet ranked
Confidence
75%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 268.4 | 15.8 |
| 2022partial | 12 | 161.2 | 13.4 |
| 2023partial | 9 | 80.0 | 8.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 137.3 | 8.1 |
How we got there (v2)
11.79
PPG (aged)
11.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
137.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.16 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.79.