Projection · PPR
246.8
183–311 range
ADP (consensus)
147
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 9 | 108.4 | 12.0 |
| 2023 | 15 | 243.1 | 16.2 |
| 2024 | 16 | 214.6 | 13.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 350.4 | 20.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 246.8 | 14.5 |
How we got there (v2)
16.22
PPG (aged)
15.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
246.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 16.22.