Projection · PPR
178.6
116–242 range
ADP (consensus)
—
not yet ranked
Confidence
31%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 218.1 | 13.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 178.6 | 10.5 |
How we got there (v2)
11.76
PPG (aged)
15.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
178.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 1 season (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.84 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.76.