Projection · PPR
163.3
114–212 range
ADP (consensus)
312
as of Jul 17
Confidence
67%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 239.2 | 14.1 |
| 2023partial | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 256.6 | 15.1 |
| 2025 | 16 | 227.1 | 14.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 163.3 | 9.6 |
How we got there (v2)
12.21
PPG (aged)
13.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
163.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.37 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.21.