Projection · PPR
169.4
116–223 range
ADP (consensus)
—
not yet ranked
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 222.9 | 13.1 |
| 2022partial | 12 | 155.3 | 12.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 169.4 | 10.0 |
How we got there (v2)
12.46
PPG (aged)
13.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
169.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 2 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.54 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.46.