Projection · PPR
112.2
76–149 range
ADP (consensus)
426
as of Jun 22
Confidence
49%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 5 | 48.3 | 9.7 |
| 2023partial | 5 | 100.8 | 20.2 |
| 2024partial | 7 | 99.0 | 14.1 |
| 2025 | 13 | 146.7 | 11.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 112.2 | 6.6 |
How we got there (v2)
11.23
PPG (aged)
10.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
112.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.21 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.23.